Published On: Mon, May 14th, 2018

Fun with projections: Playoff races setting up to be historic

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If the early season standings are any indication, it’s going to be an incredible run to the postseason.

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Three American League teams are projected to finish the regular season with 100 wins, which has never before happened in MLB history. Two of those teams reside in the same division – the American League East – which hasn’t been done since the Mariners and Athletics combined for 218 wins in 2001. Despite potentially reaching triple-digit victories, either the Yankees or Red Sox would play in the AL wild-card game, marking just the second time a wild-card team would finish with at least 100 wins. For comparison, last year’s two wild-card teams – the Yankees and Twins – won 91 and 85 games, respectively.

AL East

Team Record Projected Finish
Yankees 28-12 100-62
Red Sox 28-12 100-62
Blue Jays 21-20 84-78
Rays 16-22 75-87
Orioles 13-28 69-93

AL Central

Team Record Projected Finish
Indians 20-19 91-71
Twins 17-19 80-82
Tigers 17-22 69-93
Royals 13-27 67-95
White Sox 10-27 62-100

AL West

Team Record Projected Finish
Astros 26-16 100-62
Angels 24-16 88-74
Mariners 22-17 83-79
Athletics 19-21 80-82
Rangers 16-26 73-89

AL Wild Card

Team Projected Finish
BOS/NYY 100-62
Angels 88-74
***** *****
Blue Jays 84-78
Mariners 84-78
Twins 80-82
Athletics 80-82

NATIONAL LEAGUE


The National League isn’t quite as top-heavy, as no team is projected to win 100 games. In fact, only two teams are projected to win 90-plus games.

After sending three teams to the postseason in 2017 – including the 104-win Dodgers – the NL West doesn’t project to have a team even winning 85 games this season. The Diamondbacks are currently playing .600 baseball, so they’ll have to significantly cool off to finish with only 84 wins, while the Dodgers will have to pick it up after starting the year 16-24.

The wild-card race could be one of the best in recent memory, with eight teams projected to finish within three games of the second spot.

NL East

Team Record Projected Finish
Nationals 24-18 92-70
Braves 24-15 82-80
Mets 19-18 82-80
Phillies 23-16 81-81
Marlins 14-26 64-98

NL Central

Team Record Projected Finish
Cubs 21-16 91-71
Cardinals 22-16 87-75
Brewers 24-17 82-80
Pirates 23-17 82-80
Reds 14-27 67-95

NL West

Team Record Projected Finish
D-Backs 24-16 84-78
Dodgers 16-24 84-78
Rockies 22-19 82-80
Giants 20-21 78-84
Padres 16-26 69-93

NL Wild Card

Team Projected Finish
Cardinals 87-75
LAD/ARI 84-78
***** *****
Pirates 82-80
Brewers 82-80
Braves 82-80
Rockies 82-80
Mets 82-80
Phillies 81-81

(Projections courtesy: Fangraphs)
(Photos courtesy: Getty Images)



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